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Jason Fried: Your Only Competition Is Your Costs
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Jason Fried: Your Only Competition Is Your Costs

Summary

  • Fried’s operating thesis is that a business’s only real competition is its costs. Competitors will “do what they’re going to do” and you control none of it; what you control is spend and price, and “as long as I make more than I spend, I get to stay in business.” Low costs also shrink the demand problem — make what you yourself want, and you only need to find “enough” people like you, not the whole market. Senra’s parallel: Microsoft’s first 30 employees were Bill Gates, his secretary, and 28 programmers — “no fat, all product.”
  • 37signals runs about 62 people with no middle management, usually two-person feature teams, and profit-sharing paid in real cash. COO and engineering-manager experiments were rolled back after the one question that “answers pretty much every question”: knowing what I know now, would I hire them again? As an LLC with a four-person cap table, 10% of profits go to employees purely on longevity (units accrue up to ten years, role- and title-blind); roughly 20 of 62 people took six-figure bonuses in 2024 — “no options, no RSUs, no stock, any of that BS.”
  • The balance-sheet philosophy is “blubber”: cushy margins, zero outside funding, and every strategic option kept open. Leaving AWS for their own data centers saves roughly ten million dollars — “it’s our money, man” — and Fried is baffled by Silicon Valley losing billions on “the highest margin product in history, software.” Raising VC, in his telling, is the mirage of expanded options that leaves almost one outcome: build a big business or fail — “most people blow right through what would’ve been a good business.”
  • Basecamp’s pricing is capped at $299/month precisely to engineer durability — no whales, no Jenga. He wants a “static” customer base where you could lose 100 random customers and be fine, versus the enterprise game of landing 2,000-seat accounts at 50 grand a month: “You don’t want customers that you cannot afford to lose.” Durability, he argues, is “about a lot of small things.”
  • Planning is day-by-day with a six-week maximum horizon — the squirrel, not the hockey stick. The goal is to reach orbit and hold, making small, throwaway-able decisions rather than eight-month bets, which makes the business “more antifragile.” On money left on the table from never optimizing pricing or A/B testing: “So what? … You get to the right size, and for whatever reason, you can’t be content there. And you push a little bit too much, too hard, and you lose what was great about what you were doing.”
  • He is explicit that he could not build Basecamp again — and treats AI killing soft SaaS in three years as a negative-visualization scenario. Second acts fail because founders “don’t know why it didn’t work, and you don’t know why it worked”; Trader Joe’s founder Joe Coulombe’s closing-book regret is the cautionary tale. If AI ends soft SaaS in three years: “Well, we had a great run.”
  • Product doctrine: software “slides downhill” because nothing physical pushes back, so every version must be fundamentally simpler. He practices “Galápagos” design — no competitor-watching, inspiration from the Concept2 Rower, leaves, and birds instead of other software — and prizes the “purity” of early executions like the 1963 Rolex Daytona, which he personally prefers: additions that don’t make the thing better are decay, not progress.
  • The consumer-tech read is “the great regression” — and Bezos’s advice to invest in what doesn’t change. A brand-new rental house needed a walk-through for the lights and an app to run the dishwasher; “the best interface ever, was the switch,” now a lost art like Roman concrete. Exceptions granted: Nest and Tesla’s screen. The Bezos anchor: nobody in ten years wishes Amazon’s service were worse, delivery slower, or prices higher — “focus on the things in our business that don’t change.”

Deep dive

1. The founding pattern: build for yourself, then find “enough” people like you

  • Fried’s origin story, told whole: at 15 or 16 he built a FileMaker Pro database called AudioFile to track tapes and CDs he loaned out, put a text file in the archive — “If you like this, send me $20” — uploaded it to AOL before the internet, and received an airmail envelope from Germany with a crisp $20 bill. “That was the moment when it all clicked for me… There are probably other people out there like you who want what you want.”
  • The economics behind the sentiment: as a solo teenager with no expenses he made about $20,000 a year, needing only a few thousand buyers. “If you have a lot of costs… you have to find a lot of people like you. But if you keep your costs low… the ones you find really love what you do. And that’s enough.”

2. “Your only competition is your costs”

  • The line that titles the episode, unpacked: a business is simply making more than you spend. Competitors “are going to do what they’re going to do. You can’t control what they’re going to put out there, what they’re going to price it at… What I can control is how much it costs me to run my business, how much I sell my product for.”
  • The stake: “Isn’t that what this is all about, staying in business? … I can’t keep doing it if I make less than it costs me to make the things that I make.” Senra ties it to the Founders canon — Walton, Jobs, Carnegie, Rockefeller all obsessed over costs — and to Gates’s 30-person Microsoft: Gates, his secretary, and 28 programmers.

3. Small teams because companies have miscommunication problems, not communication problems

  • 37signals is about 62 people today, with Fried also saying “around 63 or 62”; it got as high as about 80 and, in discussing middle management, he also referred to 83 people at one point. The company built things with 4 and 12 people in its early days. Fried’s diagnosis: “I don’t think companies really have communication problems. They have miscommunication problems” — layers and telephone games — and “you actually end up making worse stuff the more people who are involved.”
  • Teams making a feature usually have two people — one programmer and one designer — which “keeps us honest. It prevents us from making things that we can’t make with two people,” yielding products with small surface area: “You can see the whole thing, you can hold the whole thing.”
  • A structural point on why quality holds: enterprise software is sold to buyers who force it on users, “and everyone hates those products.” At 37signals the buyer and the user are the same person.

4. Management experiments, rolled back with one question

  • They tried a COO twice, with each role lasting about three years, and engineering managers for roughly a year: “They were fine. They were good people. There wasn’t enough work for them” — and forcing invented work “feels bad… they’re wasting their professional life.” Between David, the CTO, and the doers, “it’s like a game of telephone.”
  • The mechanism worth stealing: every new hire’s second year is treated as a rehire, decided by one question — “Knowing what I know now, would I hire them again? And that answers pretty much every question… performance, attitude, culture fit, all that stuff.” Applied to the roles themselves — would we create this position again? — the answer was no, and the positions were eliminated.

5. “Software slides downhill” — the physics that isn’t there

  • Fried’s best design argument: a burning-hot mug or a handle-less mug announces its own badness — physics pushes back. “In software, you don’t get that. Software can be anything. It’s infinitely malleable… it just expands forever and gets worse. Software slides downhill.”
  • The countermeasure: Basecamp is reinvented every five or six years — 1→2 and 2→3 were total rewrites, 3→4 was not, and 4→5, which was in progress, was not — with the goal that each version is “a little bit simpler in the fundamental ways,” even if it has more features.
  • Why he finds this fun: “My favorite thing in life, frankly, is to have an insight… I bounce into those insights very frequently, making software… That’s where they come from, the shower and the software.”

6. He would not trade his business for anyone’s — literally anyone’s

  • On being inconsistent — despite 27 years in business, profitability every year, millions of lifetime customers, and hundreds of millions of dollars earned, he says he would not want to run another business: “I don’t find consistency interesting in any way, shape, or form. To me, it’s all about the context.”
  • The no-envy claim, pressed by Senra and defended flatly: “You could pick anyone… It’d be a downgrade.” Reason: “I built the company I want to work at… If I had to do my thing someone else’s way, it’d be a game of charades.” Being content, he adds, “is unfortunately not something that’s talked enough about in my industry… grow, grow, grow… serial entrepreneurship. It’s boring to me.”
  • If he sold, he said he would like to shut his laptop and not use a computer for a year, while still using his phone to contact people; he also said he would not start another business.

7. Envelopes and letters — and “playing entrepreneur”

  • The metaphor of the episode: business splits into envelope (the shell, brand, valuation, vehicle) and letter (the product). “I’m a product guy… The business side just has to exist to hold the product.” His caveat: envelope people are fine — “you’ve got to know who you are.”
  • “Playing entrepreneur” defined: spinning up businesses, logos, raises, valuations “and there’s nothing there of substance inside that yet… Then it’s like a mad rush to get out at a certain valuation.” The verdict, uncushioned: “The idea of a business being a financial instrument is anathema to me. It’s repellent, actually.”

8. Thin shell, orbit, and the discipline of “so what?”

  • Why thin: “The more massive an object is, the more energy it takes to change its direction.” A thick business puts distance between you, the customer, and the product; 37signals is “a very thin business with a thick set of products.”
  • His anti-hockey-stick chart: a rocket into orbit. “You’ve got to break free of gravity. But then there’s a point where you actually just want to sit in orbit and maintain… You’re not pushing super hard.” Growth for its own sake gets the standing reply: “So what if you’re massive and then you’re twice as massive? So what? Why?”
  • On admitted money left on the table — no pricing optimization, no constant A/B tests: “Maybe someone else would come into my business and double the business overnight… I’m willing to accept that that’s the case. My answer would be, ‘So what?’” The one optimization he endorses is making the product better, “not to squeeze an extra $100,000 out of something.”

9. Not a CEO — 200 customer emails

  • On the title: “Chief Executive Officer. Of what, again? … Yesterday, I answered 200 emails from my customers. Some people would say that’s irresponsible for a CEO… I think it’s the best thing you can do.”
  • Senra’s supporting case study: UPS founder Jim Casey, whose executives told him what he wanted to hear, had his driver pull over at every brown truck to talk directly to drivers — “the person that’s actually doing the work.” Fried’s parallel: everyone signing up for Basecamp sees a letter with his real email address. “There’s no AI. There’s no assistant. There’s no levels between at all.”
  • The model he aspires to is Olivia’s, the Chicago grocery-store owner who knew every customer by name: “It actually frustrates me that I don’t know all of our customers… Somehow it permeates me, and I get to feel what it’s like to be them.”

10. Vinnie’s sandwich shop and the beauty of “enough”

  • The Chicago Avenue sandwich shop — which Senra tentatively identified as Vinnie’s, while Fried was unsure whether it was still in business — is open only as long as it has bread, with no posted hours; it usually closes around 2:30. Fried’s honest wrestle with it: yes, they could get more bread — “Okay, so where do you stop? … You can see how this doesn’t end, and how a business like that could consume everything.” His conclusion: “There’s something very simply beautiful about enough,” with the acknowledged caveat that he’s an outside observer who doesn’t know that business’s realities.
  • Offered 27 years of earnings compressed into 15, he’d take the 27 without hesitation: “The money is a side effect of all of this.” He cites Patrick O’Shaughnessy via Senra — “the reward for good work is more work” — as exactly why longevity beats speed.

11. Plan like a squirrel: six weeks maximum, small units, antifragile

  • The metaphor: a squirrel crossing a field “knows roughly where it wants to go… it scurries, and it stops and looks around… and it course-corrects.” At 37signals, 99% of projects take six weeks or less; the cloud exit was the rare bigger exception. “You know more about things, the closer they are to you.”
  • The skewering of long-range planning: “I’ve always been mystified by people who think they can figure out the next three years today, but they’re afraid of figuring out tomorrow, tomorrow.”
  • Why small units win: a bad day is behind you in 24 hours, versus eight-month decisions with contingencies that “go sour.” “Make things small, tiny little units that you can throw them away… you become more antifragile.” Missing big opportunities? “Yes, maybe so. So what? If I can stay alive, doing the thing I’m doing… I don’t need the other big opportunities.”
  • When asked what success looks like in five years, Fried’s answer is “just more of this”; Senra says “I don’t know” and “I don’t care.”

12. Galápagos product design: don’t look at competitors, look at a leaf

  • Fried very rarely studies rival products, deliberately: “Everyone follows everybody else… people then build out of fear. ‘They’re launching this. I have to meet them.’” The result is an industry where “someone has a successful product, and then all future products for the next three years look just like theirs.”
  • His inspiration diet is entirely outside software — buildings, furniture, watches, the Concept2, and the 4:45 p.m. light raking over California’s hills — and he refuses to justify it commercially: “Why does everything have to come back to business?” His advice to designers thumbing through logo books: “Go outside… if you want to find great colors, look at a bird. Don’t look at a book.”
  • The self-description: an insular group solving problems its own way, like the Galápagos. “Some people hate the way our stuff looks and works. Fine. I don’t care. We have enough people who love what we do.”

13. The Concept2 Rower as the perfect product

  • His favorite product, described from memory: under $1,000 — “I think it’s been under $1,000 forever” — with a black-and-white LCD, not even LED, five rubberized buttons and, he thinks, two others, running on C or D batteries. “No electricity, no plugging in, no recharging… It does exactly what it’s supposed to do with nothing else.” Verdict: “A paper clip and a Concept2 Rower, it’s hard to improve on both of those things.”
  • The method embedded in it: “I look at the products, not the companies. I look at the products and go, ‘Oh, that’s a great product. I bet that’s a great company.’” Crucially, the improvements over generations were functional — better, longer-lasting materials — “not just to sell new models,” which is why he’s more attached to the brand.

14. HEY as a love letter, and mistakes left in on purpose

  • The HEY pre-launch page was written mid-development, before he knew exactly what the product would be — “It was the love behind the product.” Email itself he calls a wonder of the world: no platforms required, anyone can reach anyone, “as beautiful as the web.” He blames Apple, Google, Yahoo, and Microsoft for making email products they did not care about.
  • His product demos are long and unedited: “If I screw up two minutes in, I’m not going to go, ‘Let’s start over’… We are not a corporate entity hiding behind a structure… We don’t have a board.”
  • The Navajo rug story, as told to him by a collector in Mineral Point, Wisconsin: the off-stitches are not regarded as errors but as “a moment in time” — if you stumble on a path, “you can’t take that stumble back.” Fried’s extension: “Mistakes are a concept we put on ourselves… Are these rugs worse because there’s a stitch off? No… They’re better.” He qualified his broad criticism — not all companies, but many — saying companies are “afraid of everything, of saying something wrong… That is not endearing. I think people want to do business with people.”
  • He invokes, with uncertainty, Christopher Alexander’s idea of a quality in buildings made by people in native villages without architects: “a perfect fit for what they wanted for themselves.”

15. A toolmaker who wants to live closer to the ground

  • Identity, aligned with Tobi Lütke: “I make tools, they just happen to be made of software… It’s a lever that lets you do more with it than you could without it.” He rejects “tech industry” and even “entrepreneur” as labels.
  • Why physical things: “Software looks the same over time. A great building, a great brick… bricks are beautiful because they look even better as they get older.” He collects rocks — emphatically not crystals — and says “I would much rather lie on the ground than fly in the air.”
  • Senra cites Mark Leonard of Constellation Software saying that building stone walls was one of the most fulfilling jobs he had, because he could return decades later and point to what he had made. He also describes Christopher Nolan as someone who wants to live in an analog world: no cellphone, scripts physically delivered and taken back.
  • Fried’s reframe of Senra’s analog credo: “Whatever you said doesn’t matter, actually. It’s that you know who you are… A lot of people don’t know what they like. They like what other people like… They kind of run someone else’s business, in a sense.” And: “You don’t need to pick sides. You can love digital, and you can love physical.”

16. Psychedelics, the radio dial, and the chip on the younger Fried’s shoulder

  • The rejection letter: web designer Dave Siegel responded to Fried’s award submission with “You suck. Find another day job.” — “And I loved that… The only time I’m ever competitive is when someone slights me.” He says he came into his own in his forties, and he is 51, helped partly by psychedelic experiences.
  • Senra’s pushback, personal and firm: a cousin died of a heroin overdose, and his father was jailed for dealing — “I’ve never seen somebody high on cocaine make a great decision… I’ll just not do drugs.” Fried doesn’t proselytize — “I’m not here to convince you” — but describes mushrooms as “an avalanche of insights.”
  • Two images worth keeping: the 1950s car radio — “95.7 is you. And psychedelics let me turn the knob a little bit and tune into something else that’s always been there, but I couldn’t hear that frequency” — and the 3D puzzle he finally turned around: “Everything’s a lot simpler from behind… The front of things is a front. The back of things is real.”

17. Blubber: fat reserves, a $10M cloud exit, and six-figure cash bonuses

  • The coinage, which Fried said had come to him the previous night: “I don’t want to run a very tight-margin business where I can’t make mistakes… We take risks. We don’t put ourselves at risk… I’d rather just have the farm than not have the farm.” The fat metaphor extended: 6% body fat is cool, “but it’s not a good thing to live that way for a long period of time” — the blubber carried them through the dot-com crash, 2008, and COVID.
  • On why they bothered leaving AWS to save something like $10 million: “It’s because it’s our money, man. We don’t have outside funding, and I don’t want any outside funding.” Marketing spend over 27 years: “a rounding error.” His standing bafflement: Silicon Valley companies are “blowing billions” on “the highest-margin product in history: software”; he also acknowledged that software has some data costs. “It seems so incredibly irresponsible to me.”
  • The distribution machinery: an LLC with four people on the cap table; 10% of profits to employees annually by longevity, not seniority — units accrue monthly, maxing at ten years, so a ten-year support person earning roughly $90,000–$100,000 gets the same profit share as a ten-year principal engineer. About 20 of 62 people received six-figure bonuses in 2024; Fried noted that the 2025 books were not yet closed. Versus competitors promising stock on a down-and-to-the-right chart: “I feel bad for those people because they were promised something they’ll never, ever get.”

18. No post-mortems, no targets — because you can’t actually know why it worked

  • Fried refuses retrospectives: “Backward is a story you’re telling yourself about what you remember about something, and it’s probably not true.” Post-launch analyses produce false certainty: “You’re going to find some reasons that you’re going to believe, but had you done that again, it may have turned out differently… If you want to find certainty, you’re going to find it, because you’ll convince yourself of it. I think it’s really dangerous.” Learning happens forward: “You learn by doing.”
  • Senra reads Rick Rubin’s answer on self-criticism — “If it could be better, it’s not done… there’s nothing to be critical of. It’s almost like a diary entry” — and Fried co-signs: “That’s exactly how I see things.” The corollary at 37signals: no revenue, sales, or user targets. “A target shouldn’t make me do better work… The product is the measurement.” Success, per Jobs via Senra: “Did I make something I’m proud of?” Fried’s version: “Would I want to do this again? … If so, it’s successful.”

19. “No way could I do it again” — Trader Joe’s, Bob Dylan, and the AI scenario

  • Fried is categorical that he couldn’t rebuild Basecamp: “I don’t think I’m good enough again to do what I did before. I don’t have the stamina… I would have the curiosity, but I know that wouldn’t carry me enough.” Senra’s cautionary tale: Joe Coulombe sold Trader Joe’s out of fear, spent decades on investing and consulting, and closed his autobiography with “I wasn’t true. I regret selling.” The book was published the same week he died.
  • The mature alternative, via a Bob Dylan interview that Fried tentatively recalled as “16 Minutes” with Morley Safer: “I used to be able to do that… I know I couldn’t do it again, but I can do other things now.” If your identity is “entrepreneur,” you’re forced into a sequel you’ll likely resent.
  • The AI scenario, practiced deliberately: he and David do negative visualization — “What if this just changes the whole damn landscape, and soft SaaS is just dead in three years? Our answer is, ‘Well, we had a great run.’” And the mushroom coda that anchors it: asking the guide to replay the song from his first trip, getting nothing, and laughing — “You cannot have the same experience twice… That thing happened then, and this is now.” He now applies it to his kids, 11 and 7: savor it; once he’s 12, he’s 12.

20. Optionality: VC money cuts off nearly every off-ramp; equal pricing removes the whales

  • The core independence claim: profitability is independence — “no one can tell us what to do. We actually feel obligated to do things nobody would allow us to do… ‘No one would let us do this. Let’s do it!’” No dry cleaner raises VC; but in his industry, the moment they raise, “they’ve cut off almost every possible off-ramp outcome, because now they have to be a big business or they fail… Most people blow right through what would’ve been a good business, and it’s now not good enough for someone else.” His list of retained options: go public, raise, sell to private equity, quit — “I don’t want to. That is gold to me, is optionality.”
  • The pricing corollary: Basecamp caps at $299/month no matter the seat count, refusing the “50 grand a month, 2,000 seats” enterprise game. He wants customers like TV static — equal-sized dots: “You should be able to pick out… 100 random customers and lose them and be okay… What you don’t want are a bunch of outlier companies that you cannot afford to lose” — no Jenga, and software built for the whole base rather than a few whales.

21. Purity, the great regression, and Bezos on what doesn’t change

  • On the viral watch post: Fried prefers the 1963 Rolex Daytona to later versions “because it’s the purest form of the concept… Everything else from there has been layered on because they need to sell more.” Senra supplies the distillation Fried adopts on the spot: “You’re adding to it, but you’re not making it better” — echoed by Jimmy Iovine’s line to a young Rick Rubin, “Oh, I wish I could still make something that simple,” and Rubin’s ruthless-edit test: add song six only if it makes the album better. The Porsche 911 proof: a burned-out car on PCH was instantly identifiable — “It’s a 997, in fact.”
  • The rant, from renting his parents a brand-new house: a dishwasher that required app registration before first use, laggy touchscreen thermostats where you can’t tell current temperature from target, TVs where “you don’t turn a TV on anymore, you boot the TV up,” and a formal walk-through for the lights. “This is not a product built by people who are using the product they’re building.” He calls it “the great regression”; exceptions granted to Nest, a product based on the original Honeywell/Dreyfuss round-dial design, and Tesla’s “outstanding” screen, while other carmakers retreat to buttons.
  • The light switch as lost technology: “The best interface ever, was the switch… It will be rediscovered one day” — like Roman concrete, an art the industry forgot. The strategic anchor from Jeff Bezos, whom Fried described as a partner who owns a percentage of the company, given when they first met: “Focus on the things in our business that don’t change” — nobody in ten years will wish Amazon’s customer service were worse, delivery slower, or prices higher. “It’s very easy to lose sight of those, because they can become boring.”

22. Be the oak tree: time is the filter, intuition is the engine

  • The durability metaphor: 37signals as a slow-growing bur oak versus the cottonwood — fast, noisy, messy, and, Fried said, dying in “about 75 years or something like that.” Every era brings a “Basecamp killer”: “Very few of them can withstand and outlive the storms… People are like, ‘How do you compete?’ Well, we just stay around longer than everybody else.” Senra’s maxims alongside: “You just stay in the game long enough to get lucky” — illustrated with Coca-Cola and refrigeration, and Shopify and COVID — and “time is the best filter,” via Munger’s seamless web of deserved trust.
  • On intuition, his decision system: no focus groups, no testing that matters — “I’ve never seen a spreadsheet that’s ever made me do anything… I’m very careful not to put too much weight into something that purports to be more valuable than some other feeling I have just because it has numbers on it.” Refinement is “area under the curve”: make more decisions and they tumble “into a nice, smooth orb” — but intuition “has to be used… to really be enjoyed,” which loops back to independence.
  • Senra’s closing pushback on Fried’s “I don’t work hard”: 40 hours a week over 27 years is roughly 54,000 hours on one thing, by Senra’s calculation — almost nobody has done that. Fried’s shrug is the thesis in miniature: “I was just laying bricks. I just keep doing it… and then it just adds up.”